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Political Round Up

What's their Story?

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by Clarissa V. Militante

The stories surrounding the presidential candidates in the 2010 elections are as important as their political agenda and campaign platforms. Filipinos love to tell, hear and make stories, whether these are factual, or are in the form of gossip or image-building fabrications; even journalism is about the telling and retelling of stories--not just about putting together facts--and knowing how to frame these stories to create impact on the readers.  Also, in a society that has penchant for drama, as seen in the popularity of formulaic movies and in recent years the telenovelas, the narratives that came out about the candidates, notwithstanding the veracity of some, can have as much impact on voters as the candidates' stands on issues.

As this is coming out at the end of the campaign trail, the article focuses on the narratives about the candidates who are now the main contenders in the presidential race as far as the recent surveys are concerned. These three were also the most written about in terms of their colorful, even checkered, personal stories.

The Anti-hero

He is the son of his parents; the one who will ensure that their legacies continue to live on. Noynoy Aquino's candidacy rode on the memory of the martyrdom of Benigno Aquino, Jr. and the presidency of Cory Aquino as well as her image as the icon of democracy, especially after she stepped down as president. It would become apparent however that this legacy narrative is not always desirable because not everyone has the same memory of what Cory Aquino's presidency bequeathed to the nation. Cory, in fact, became a more popular icon as citizen Cory when she joined rallies against perceived enemies of democracy, particularly those who wanted to change the Constitution for their self-serving political interests.

Manuel

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by Carmina Flores-Obanil

Politics is perception, an old saying goes.

Nowhere is this saying more true and apt than in Philippine politics where perception is almost everything.  And in Philippine politics, the war on perception is normally waged through mass media and during elections, through political advertisements. 

The inevitable role of mass media in politics, and modern political campaigns cannot be denied. In fact, a lot of studies show that political candidates have depended heavily on both electronic and print media channels to send their messages across voters. The reason why critics often complain that candidates don’t even wage their campaigns on issues anymore but instead rely on professional media consultants to package them and sell them like any other product.

In a study (Farha and Hamdar 2008) conducted, the researchers noted that political advertisements since these are not everyday occurrences, generate a unique level of attentiveness and are more efficient message transmitters than news stories.  Since repetition plays a key role in learning, constant repetition of political advertisements inculcates specific messages helping form either positive perception for the candidate controlling the ads.

A study looking at the impact of political ads in the 2004 and 2007 elections shows that political ads “contributed a lot” to the result of these elections. The study was conducted by a group of experts, including Pulse Asia  Chief Research fellow Dr. Ana Tabunda. The study’s findings reveal that political ads serve as a source of information for first-time voters and a gauge of sincerity on the other hand for older voters. 

No other presidentiable has capitalized on this fact more than Manny Villar.




HALAL April update: estimated chance of AES success is now 32%; PCOS accuracy remains a mystery*

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Last March 2010, Halalang Marangal issued an analysis of the estimated chance of success of the Automated Election System (AES) and put it at 25%. Based on developments in April, we are updating our estimates of the probabilities of success of the sub-projects and the AES itself as follows:

AES Sub-Project March April
    Hardware 80% 80%
    Software 70% 70%
    Logistics 80% 90%
    Transmission 70% 90%
    Ballot Printing 80% 70%

Overall AES Project 25% 32%

Global Water Activists Celebrate 10th Year of Cochabamba Water Wars

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On April 15-18, 2010, thousands of water justice activists from Bolivia, Latin America, Europe, North America and Asia gathered in Cochabamba to celebrate the 10th year anniversary of the Water Wars. Dubbed as “III Feria del Agua”, the historic gathering commemorates the successful resistance of Cochabamba’ popular movements in reclaiming their public water system from a private consortium, Aguas del Tunari, which involved International Water, a subsidiary of Bechtel. This inspired grassroots water justice movements around the world to stand up against big water transnational corporations, to demand accountability from governments, and reclaim public water, in the process—making water an arena of social mobilization and contestation and transformed the struggle for water into a struggle for people’s fundamental human right. It was also about reclaiming and redefining democracy and power relations, and challenging corporate-driven globalization head on.

Mixed Messages

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By Aya Fabros

It’s February and the hot and humid air is spiked with the tragedies of the past, the controversies of the present and the travesties of the future. This month, as we remember EDSA 1986 and recall ULTRA 2006, we also mark the official start of the national campaign period. There have been a lot of interesting developments related to the elections.

For instance, recent headlines related to some Supreme Court rulings have got a lot of people asking, what’s wrong with this picture?

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